Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pau FC wins |
44.03%
±14.8%
|
2.25 | -0.9% |
| Draw |
28.32%
±2.96%
|
3.20 | -9.4% |
| Bastia wins |
27.66%
±12.26%
|
3.10 | -14.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Pau FC
Bastia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Pau FC
Bastia
Shots
12.7
10.6
Shots On Target
4.7
3.1
Corners
5.3
4.2
Fouls
14.4
14.5
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Pau FC
Bastia
Shots
9.3
13.1
Shots On Target
3.8
5.1
Corners
4.9
6.7
Fouls
14.9
14.0
Yellow Cards
2.9
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Pau FC Wins
2Draws
4Bastia Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 24 Jan 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 22 Oct 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 10 May 2024 | Bastia Win | 1:2 |
| 26 Sep 2023 | Pau FC Win | 1:4 |
Pau FC - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | St Etienne | 0:3 | L |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Troyes | 4:3 | L |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Boulogne | 1:2 | L |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Red Star | 0:3 | W |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Laval | 0:1 | W |
Bastia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | Annecy | 0:2 | L |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Dunkerque | 1:1 | D |
| 16 Feb 2026 | Troyes | 0:0 | D |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Reims | 0:0 | D |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Nancy | 0:0 | D |