English League One 4 Jan 2026 10:00 Match Finished

Plymouth vs Burton

Final Result

3:0

Plymouth to win

Rating Change

Plymouth +0.3
Burton +0.9
Our Prediction Correct
44.5% Plymouth to win

±14.8%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Plymouth wins
44.55% ±14.8%
2.15 -4.2%
Draw
26.88% ±2.76%
3.35 -10.0%
Burton wins
28.58% ±12.46%
3.23 -7.8%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Plymouth
Burton

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Plymouth
Burton
Shots 10.0 11.4
Shots On Target 2.9 3.9
Corners 4.1 4.5
Fouls 12.1 10.0
Yellow Cards 2.8 1.8
Red Cards 0.2 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Plymouth
Burton
Shots 14.0 11.1
Shots On Target 5.0 4.1
Corners 5.0 5.0
Fouls 9.1 14.1
Yellow Cards 1.3 1.7
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Plymouth Wins

4

Draws

3

Burton Wins

0
Date Result Score
27 Sep 2025 Plymouth Win 0:4
29 Apr 2023 Plymouth Win 1:0
19 Nov 2022 Draw 2:2
9 Apr 2022 Draw 0:0
9 Oct 2021 Plymouth Win 2:1

Plymouth - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
1 Jan 2026 Stevenage 1:1 D
29 Dec 2025 Wycombe 1:1 D
26 Dec 2025 Reading 1:4 L
20 Dec 2025 Doncaster 1:5 W
13 Dec 2025 Rotherham 1:0 W

Burton - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
1 Jan 2026 Reading 2:0 L
29 Dec 2025 Wigan 0:2 L
26 Dec 2025 Northampton 5:1 W
20 Dec 2025 Stevenage 2:2 D
13 Dec 2025 Wycombe 0:0 D