Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston wins |
44.14%
±14.65%
|
2.25 | -0.7% |
| Draw |
28.74%
±3.04%
|
3.15 | -9.5% |
| Derby wins |
27.12%
±12.02%
|
3.33 | -9.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Preston
Derby
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Preston
Derby
Shots
11.0
11.1
Shots On Target
4.1
3.9
Corners
5.0
5.9
Fouls
10.5
11.4
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Preston
Derby
Shots
9.2
10.1
Shots On Target
3.0
3.6
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
4.8
5.4
Fouls
10.1
10.4
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Preston Wins
3Draws
2Derby Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Preston Win | 0:1 |
| 2 Apr 2025 | Derby Win | 2:0 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 2 Apr 2022 | Derby Win | 1:0 |
| 16 Oct 2021 | Draw | 0:0 |
Preston - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Bristol City | 0:2 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Sheffield Weds | 3:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Wrexham | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Stoke | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 1:1 | D |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Wrexham | 1:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Birmingham | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Portsmouth | 1:1 | D |