Bundesliga 21 Feb 2026 12:30 Match Finished

RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

Our Prediction Missed
38.3% Dortmund to win

±13.7%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
RB Leipzig wins
31.81% ±13.66%
2.13 -32.4%
Draw
29.86% ±1.66%
3.90 +16.5%
Dortmund wins
38.33% ±13.68%
3.05 +16.9%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

RB Leipzig
Dortmund

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
Shots 15.9 14.0
Shots On Target 5.9 5.4
Corners 4.1 5.5
Fouls 8.6 10.8
Yellow Cards 1.1 1.9
Red Cards 0.0 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
Shots 14.8 13.5
Shots On Target 5.6 4.2
Corners 4.9 6.9
Fouls 12.9 9.4
Yellow Cards 2.6 2.2
Red Cards 0.0 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

RB Leipzig Wins

6

Draws

1

Dortmund Wins

3
Date Result Score
4 Oct 2025 Draw 1:1
15 Mar 2025 RB Leipzig Win 2:0
2 Nov 2024 Dortmund Win 2:1
27 Apr 2024 RB Leipzig Win 4:1
9 Dec 2023 RB Leipzig Win 2:3

RB Leipzig - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
15 Feb 2026 Wolfsburg 2:2 D
8 Feb 2026 FC Koln 1:2 W
31 Jan 2026 Mainz 1:2 L
27 Jan 2026 St Pauli 1:1 D
24 Jan 2026 Heidenheim 0:3 W

Dortmund - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
13 Feb 2026 Mainz 4:0 W
7 Feb 2026 Wolfsburg 1:2 W
1 Feb 2026 Heidenheim 3:2 W
24 Jan 2026 Union Berlin 0:3 W
17 Jan 2026 St Pauli 3:2 W