Real Madrid vs Vallecano
Final Result
4:1
Real Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Correct
78.4%
Real Madrid to win
±9.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins |
78.43%
±9.26%
|
1.12 | -12.0% |
| Draw |
15.26%
±4.98%
|
8.96 | +36.7% |
| Vallecano wins Top Bet |
6.31%
±4.33%
|
18.71 | +18.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Real Madrid
Vallecano
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Real Madrid
Vallecano
Shots
16.3
12.9
Shots On Target
6.3
5.8
Corners
6.1
4.8
Fouls
9.6
15.0
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Real Madrid
Vallecano
Shots
14.9
13.8
Shots On Target
4.9
4.5
Corners
6.8
4.0
Fouls
8.7
17.2
Yellow Cards
2.5
3.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Real Madrid Wins
5Draws
4Vallecano Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Real Madrid Win | 2:1 |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Real Madrid Win | 2:1 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
Real Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | Betis | 1:0 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Malaga | 4:0 | W |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Sociedad | 4:1 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Espanol | 1:2 | W |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Sociedad | - | - |
Vallecano - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Santander | 3:2 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Barcelona | 5:2 | L |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Alaves | 1:1 | D |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Sevilla | 2:1 | L |
| 23 May 2026 | Alaves | 1:2 | W |