Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave wins |
43.47%
±15.12%
|
2.34 | +1.5% |
| Draw |
28.11%
±2.91%
|
3.15 | -11.5% |
| Casa Pia wins |
28.42%
±12.68%
|
3.00 | -14.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Shots
8.2
8.1
Shots On Target
3.2
2.8
Corners
4.0
4.3
Fouls
13.9
15.2
Yellow Cards
3.8
3.2
Red Cards
0.4
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Shots
10.2
8.8
Shots On Target
3.4
2.4
Corners
3.4
5.6
Fouls
14.8
19.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Rio Ave Wins
1Draws
3Casa Pia Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2025 | Casa Pia Win | 2:1 |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Rio Ave Win | 1:0 |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Rio Ave - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 4:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | AVS | 1:2 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:1 | D |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Tondela | 1:2 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Alverca | 0:2 | L |