Rio Ave vs Moreirense
Final Result
1:2
Moreirense to win
Our Prediction
Missed
35.8%
Rio Ave to win
±14.4%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave wins |
35.84%
±14.4%
|
2.84 | +1.6% |
| Draw |
28.74%
±1.8%
|
3.20 | -8.0% |
| Moreirense wins |
35.42%
±13.61%
|
2.45 | -13.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Shots
8.7
9.0
Shots On Target
3.3
3.8
Corners
4.3
4.2
Fouls
11.0
13.6
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Shots
11.3
10.6
Shots On Target
3.3
3.6
Corners
3.6
5.7
Fouls
14.7
16.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Rio Ave Wins
4Draws
2Moreirense Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Moreirense Win | 3:1 |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Rio Ave Win | 0:2 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Rio Ave Win | 3:2 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 1 Oct 2023 | Moreirense Win | 0:4 |
Rio Ave - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Sp Braga | 3:0 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Arouca | 0:3 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Nacional | 4:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 0:2 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Casa Pia | 3:1 | W |
Moreirense - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Gil Vicente | 1:2 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Guimaraes | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Alverca | 2:1 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 1:0 | W |