Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale wins |
41.72%
±13.98%
|
1.73 | -28.0% |
| Draw |
36.83%
±4.27%
|
3.45 | +27.1% |
| Carlisle wins |
21.44%
±10.1%
|
4.17 | -10.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Rochdale
Carlisle
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Rochdale
Carlisle
Yellow Cards
0.8
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Rochdale
Carlisle
Shots
12.2
10.0
Shots On Target
3.8
3.0
Corners
3.0
4.2
Fouls
9.5
10.8
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Rochdale Wins
2Draws
1Carlisle Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Rochdale Win | 0:2 |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Carlisle Win | 0:1 |
| 3 Sep 2022 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 29 Mar 2022 | Rochdale Win | 2:0 |
| 1 Mar 2022 | Carlisle Win | 2:0 |
Rochdale - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | Boreham Wood | 4:1 | W |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Southend | 2:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Truro | 2:0 | W |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Solihull | 0:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Gateshead | 0:2 | W |
Carlisle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Altrincham | 3:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Aldershot | - | - |
| 21 Jan 2026 | York | 0:3 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Solihull | 3:3 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Wealdstone | 2:0 | W |