Southampton vs Watford
Final Result
1:0
Southampton to win
Our Prediction
Correct
49.1%
Southampton to win
±14.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins |
49.14%
±14.69%
|
1.85 | -9.3% |
| Draw |
26.27%
±3.47%
|
3.65 | -4.1% |
| Watford wins |
24.59%
±11.52%
|
4.00 | -1.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Southampton
Watford
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Southampton
Watford
Shots
14.9
12.7
Shots On Target
4.6
3.7
Corners
5.6
5.1
Fouls
11.0
8.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Southampton
Watford
Shots
11.2
10.0
Shots On Target
4.8
3.8
Corners
6.0
4.5
Fouls
9.5
14.2
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Southampton Wins
3Draws
2Watford Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Southampton Win | 3:2 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Watford Win | 1:2 |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Southampton Win | 0:1 |
Southampton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Stoke | 0:2 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Portsmouth | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Sheffield United | 1:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Hull | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 4:0 | L |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | Hull | 0:0 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Swansea | 0:2 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Portsmouth | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Millwall | 0:2 | L |