Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Braga wins |
65.79%
±12.47%
|
1.41 | -7.2% |
| Draw |
22.85%
±5.72%
|
4.50 | +2.8% |
| Casa Pia wins |
11.36%
±6.86%
|
7.00 | -20.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Braga
Casa Pia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Sp Braga
Casa Pia
Shots
13.6
10.4
Shots On Target
5.5
3.2
Corners
6.1
4.2
Fouls
9.4
15.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
3.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sp Braga
Casa Pia
Shots
17.0
9.6
Shots On Target
6.6
3.4
Corners
6.6
3.0
Fouls
9.0
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sp Braga Wins
3Draws
0Casa Pia Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2025 | Casa Pia Win | 2:1 |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Casa Pia Win | 1:2 |
| 5 May 2024 | Sp Braga Win | 4:3 |
| 30 Dec 2023 | Sp Braga Win | 1:3 |
| 21 Apr 2023 | Sp Braga Win | 0:1 |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Nacional | 0:1 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Guimaraes | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Rio Ave | 2:2 | D |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2025 | Estoril | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Moreirense | 2:1 | L |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Famalicao | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Arouca | 0:2 | W |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Nacional | 0:2 | L |