Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Braga wins |
77.83%
±9.08%
|
1.24 | -3.5% |
| Draw |
16.28%
±5.18%
|
6.13 | -0.3% |
| Rio Ave wins |
5.89%
±3.96%
|
9.75 | -42.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Braga
Rio Ave
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Sp Braga
Rio Ave
Shots
12.7
9.1
Shots On Target
5.2
3.5
Corners
5.4
4.5
Fouls
11.0
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sp Braga
Rio Ave
Shots
17.4
10.6
Shots On Target
7.8
4.5
Corners
6.6
3.3
Fouls
14.2
12.5
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sp Braga Wins
5Draws
3Rio Ave Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 2 Mar 2025 | Rio Ave Win | 2:1 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Sp Braga Win | 4:0 |
| 9 Mar 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Sp Braga Win | 2:1 |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | AVS | 0:4 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Alverca | 5:0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Estrela | 3:3 | D |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 2:2 | D |
Rio Ave - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Arouca | 0:3 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Nacional | 4:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 0:2 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Casa Pia | 3:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 4:0 | L |