Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Lisbon wins |
83.27%
±7.25%
|
1.11 | -7.6% |
| Draw |
12.73%
±4.47%
|
9.13 | +16.2% |
| Alverca wins |
4%
±2.83%
|
17.50 | -30.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Lisbon
Alverca
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Sp Lisbon
Alverca
Shots
19.8
8.9
Shots On Target
7.8
3.7
Corners
6.9
2.4
Fouls
12.1
13.7
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Tondela | 0:3 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Sp Braga | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Estoril | 0:1 | W |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Moreirense | 3:0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Famalicao | 1:2 | W |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:4 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | AVS | 1:3 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Guimaraes | 2:0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Santa Clara | 2:1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2025 | Tondela | 1:0 | W |