Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Lisbon wins |
85.7%
±6.33%
|
1.19 | +2.0% |
| Draw |
11.36%
±4.19%
|
6.63 | -24.7% |
| Casa Pia wins |
2.95%
±2.17%
|
12.50 | -63.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Lisbon
Casa Pia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Sp Lisbon
Casa Pia
Shots
19.1
7.6
Shots On Target
7.8
2.9
Corners
6.7
3.9
Fouls
13.6
16.0
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sp Lisbon
Casa Pia
Shots
21.3
7.9
Shots On Target
8.9
3.0
Corners
8.1
2.4
Fouls
10.4
12.9
Yellow Cards
1.3
3.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sp Lisbon Wins
7Draws
0Casa Pia Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:2 |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 1:3 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 2:0 |
| 29 Jan 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 8:0 |
| 18 Aug 2023 | Sp Lisbon Win | 1:2 |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | Gil Vicente | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Rio Ave | 4:0 | W |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 1:4 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | AVS | 6:0 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 1:1 | D |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 3:1 | L |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Tondela | 1:2 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | L |