Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia wins |
56.35%
±14.14%
|
1.91 | +7.4% |
| Draw |
24.57%
±4.41%
|
3.20 | -21.4% |
| Bari wins |
19.08%
±9.94%
|
4.22 | -19.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Spezia
Bari
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Spezia
Bari
Shots
9.7
10.8
Shots On Target
3.7
3.0
Corners
4.2
2.8
Fouls
17.0
13.9
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Spezia
Bari
Shots
14.2
10.8
Shots On Target
3.8
3.0
Corners
6.2
4.8
Fouls
14.5
14.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
3.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Spezia Wins
1Draws
2Bari Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2024 | Bari Win | 2:0 |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 3 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 15 Dec 2023 | Spezia Win | 1:0 |
Spezia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Monza | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Padova | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Avellino | 0:4 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Cesena | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Palermo | 1:2 | L |
Bari - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Cesena | 1:0 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Mantova | 1:0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Reggiana | 3:1 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Padova | 2:1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Virtus Entella | 2:2 | D |