Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia wins |
45.38%
±15.1%
|
2.13 | -3.6% |
| Draw |
27.83%
±3.17%
|
3.18 | -11.6% |
| Cesena wins |
26.79%
±12.32%
|
3.50 | -6.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Spezia
Cesena
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Spezia
Cesena
Shots
7.9
13.1
Shots On Target
3.3
3.9
Corners
4.7
3.9
Fouls
15.7
14.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.7
Red Cards
0.4
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Spezia
Cesena
Shots
14.5
13.0
Shots On Target
4.0
3.0
Corners
5.5
4.5
Fouls
16.5
16.5
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Spezia Wins
1Draws
1Cesena Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 1 Sep 2024 | Spezia Win | 2:1 |
Spezia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Palermo | 1:2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Reggiana | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Venezia | 2:0 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Juve Stabia | 1:3 | L |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Empoli | 1:1 | D |
Cesena - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Reggiana | 1:2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Frosinone | 3:1 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Palermo | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Venezia | 1:2 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Sampdoria | 1:2 | W |