Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia wins |
33.89%
±14.14%
|
2.53 | -14.4% |
| Draw |
26.8%
±1.49%
|
3.35 | -10.2% |
| Frosinone wins |
39.32%
±14.02%
|
2.53 | -0.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Spezia
Frosinone
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Spezia
Frosinone
Shots
12.7
15.5
Shots On Target
3.8
5.8
Corners
7.0
4.7
Fouls
14.8
16.7
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.3
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Spezia
Frosinone
Shots
11.3
14.0
Shots On Target
4.0
4.7
Corners
5.3
5.0
Fouls
15.0
15.7
Yellow Cards
2.0
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Spezia Wins
1Draws
1Frosinone Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Frosinone Win | 2:1 |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Spezia Win | 2:1 |
| 3 Jul 2020 | Frosinone Win | 2:1 |
Spezia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Bari | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Virtus Entella | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Sampdoria | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Avellino | 1:0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Palermo | 1:0 | L |
Frosinone - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Avellino | 1:3 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Venezia | 1:2 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Virtus Entella | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Reggiana | 1:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Monza | 2:2 | D |