Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia wins |
58.11%
±14.05%
|
1.84 | +6.9% |
| Draw |
23.72%
±4.51%
|
3.28 | -22.3% |
| Padova wins |
18.17%
±9.72%
|
4.42 | -19.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Spezia
Padova
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Spezia
Padova
Shots
10.1
11.2
Shots On Target
3.8
4.1
Corners
5.0
4.1
Fouls
16.3
14.4
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.0
Red Cards
0.3
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Spezia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Avellino | 0:4 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Cesena | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Palermo | 1:2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Reggiana | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Venezia | 2:0 | L |
Padova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Juve Stabia | 2:2 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Catanzaro | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Bari | 2:1 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Avellino | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Monza | 0:1 | W |