Scottish Championship 28 Feb 2026 10:00 Match Finished

St Johnstone vs Ayr

Final Result

3:1

St Johnstone to win

Rating Change

Ayr -0.6
Our Prediction Correct
50.9% St Johnstone to win

±13.9%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
St Johnstone wins
50.94% ±13.95%
1.51 -23.1%
Draw
31.04% ±5.04%
3.70 +14.9%
Ayr wins
18.01% ±9.16%
5.13 -7.7%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

St Johnstone
Ayr

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
St Johnstone
Ayr
Shots 12.3 6.9
Shots On Target 5.2 2.5
Corners 7.8 3.9
Fouls 12.4 9.6
Yellow Cards 2.6 1.9
Red Cards 0.1 0.1
Hit On Woodwork N/A 0.0
Free Kicks Conceded N/A 0.0
Offsides N/A 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
St Johnstone
Ayr
Shots 10.5 4.5
Shots On Target 4.5 2.5
Corners 8.5 2.0
Fouls 11.5 10.5
Yellow Cards 4.0 1.5
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

St Johnstone Wins

1

Draws

1

Ayr Wins

0
Date Result Score
12 Dec 2025 St Johnstone Win 2:4
4 Oct 2025 Draw 0:0

St Johnstone - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
24 Feb 2026 Queens Park 1:1 D
20 Feb 2026 Raith Rvs 0:0 D
13 Feb 2026 Airdrie Utd 0:1 W
30 Jan 2026 Partick 2:2 D
24 Jan 2026 Dunfermline 0:1 L

Ayr - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
21 Feb 2026 Ross County 0:0 D
14 Feb 2026 Arbroath - -
31 Jan 2026 Raith Rvs 2:1 W
24 Jan 2026 Partick 2:1 L
10 Jan 2026 Airdrie Utd 1:1 D