Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Mirren wins |
17.34%
±9.25%
|
4.05 | -29.8% |
| Draw |
31.94%
±3.79%
|
3.60 | +15.0% |
| Hearts wins |
50.72%
±12.7%
|
1.81 | -8.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
St Mirren
Hearts
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
St Mirren
Hearts
Shots
10.9
15.1
Shots On Target
3.0
5.9
Corners
6.0
6.1
Fouls
12.6
12.1
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
St Mirren
Hearts
Shots
11.8
11.3
Shots On Target
3.4
3.8
Corners
5.9
5.1
Fouls
13.5
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.7
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
St Mirren Wins
3Draws
2Hearts Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | Hearts Win | 3:1 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Hearts Win | 4:0 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | St Mirren Win | 2:1 |
| 15 May 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Hearts Win | 1:2 |
St Mirren - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Dundee United | 3:1 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Aberdeen | 0:1 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Kilmarnock | 2:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Dundee | 1:0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Falkirk | 1:2 | W |
Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Celtic | 3:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Kilmarnock | 0:3 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Hibernian | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Falkirk | 3:0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Rangers | 0:2 | W |