Stoke vs Bristol City
Final Result
5:1
Stoke to win
Our Prediction
Correct
38.9%
Stoke to win
±14.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins |
38.9%
±14.29%
|
2.34 | -8.8% |
| Draw |
29.34%
±2.19%
|
3.30 | -3.2% |
| Bristol City wins |
31.76%
±12.75%
|
2.90 | -7.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Stoke
Bristol City
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Stoke
Bristol City
Shots
12.5
14.3
Shots On Target
3.6
3.6
Corners
5.5
4.9
Fouls
9.8
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Stoke
Bristol City
Shots
9.3
11.0
Shots On Target
3.4
4.2
Corners
4.5
5.5
Fouls
12.6
8.7
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Stoke Wins
4Draws
1Bristol City Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2025 | Bristol City Win | 2:0 |
| 22 Oct 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 4 May 2024 | Stoke Win | 4:0 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Stoke Win | 2:3 |
| 7 Apr 2023 | Bristol City Win | 1:2 |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Portsmouth | 0:1 | W |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Millwall | 2:0 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Wrexham | 1:0 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Blackburn | 1:1 | D |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Middlesbrough | 0:0 | D |
Bristol City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Birmingham | 1:0 | W |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Southampton | 3:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Norwich | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | QPR | 1:2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Ipswich | 1:1 | D |