English League Two 21 Feb 2026 07:30 Match Finished

Swindon vs Crewe

Final Result

1:2

Crewe to win

Rating Change

Swindon -2.3
Crewe -1.7
Our Prediction Missed
51.6% Swindon to win

±14.6%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Swindon wins
51.56% ±14.62%
1.98 +2.1%
Draw
25.77% ±3.83%
3.55 -8.5%
Crewe wins
22.67% ±11.05%
3.35 -24.1%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Swindon
Crewe

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Swindon
Crewe
Shots 11.4 11.0
Shots On Target 4.9 3.1
Corners 5.6 4.0
Fouls 9.7 9.9
Yellow Cards 1.5 1.4
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Swindon
Crewe
Shots 13.6 11.6
Shots On Target 4.8 4.1
Corners 6.7 4.2
Fouls 12.1 9.3
Yellow Cards 1.6 1.7
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Swindon Wins

3

Draws

3

Crewe Wins

4
Date Result Score
30 Aug 2025 Swindon Win 0:3
11 Jan 2025 Draw 0:0
24 Aug 2024 Draw 0:0
13 Jan 2024 Crewe Win 2:1
12 Aug 2023 Draw 2:2

Swindon - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
17 Feb 2026 Barnet 1:2 W
14 Feb 2026 Shrewsbury 3:1 L
11 Feb 2026 Newport County 2:0 W
7 Feb 2026 Oldham 3:0 W
3 Feb 2026 Harrogate 0:1 W

Crewe - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
17 Feb 2026 Fleetwood Town 0:1 L
14 Feb 2026 Gillingham 1:0 W
7 Feb 2026 Crawley Town 0:1 W
3 Feb 2026 Barnet 1:1 D
31 Jan 2026 Colchester 1:0 W