Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins |
43.72%
±15.55%
|
2.40 | +4.9% |
| Draw |
28.47%
±3.06%
|
3.15 | -10.3% |
| Alverca wins |
27.81%
±12.92%
|
2.98 | -17.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Tondela
Alverca
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Tondela
Alverca
Shots
8.3
8.7
Shots On Target
2.6
3.5
Corners
3.5
3.9
Fouls
14.7
13.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Tondela
Alverca
Shots
14.0
12.0
Shots On Target
6.0
4.0
Corners
6.0
5.0
Fouls
15.0
13.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Tondela Wins
0Draws
0Alverca Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2025 | Alverca Win | 1:0 |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Estoril | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Benfica | 0:0 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Famalicao | 3:0 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 1:0 | L |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Benfica | 2:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Estrela | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 5:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Famalicao | 1:0 | W |