Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins |
5.3%
±3.68%
|
12.25 | -35.0% |
| Draw |
19.83%
±5.09%
|
5.88 | +16.5% |
| Benfica wins |
74.86%
±8.68%
|
1.21 | -9.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Tondela
Benfica
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Tondela
Benfica
Shots
9.5
17.6
Shots On Target
2.7
6.4
Corners
3.7
6.4
Fouls
15.1
10.7
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Tondela
Benfica
Shots
6.3
20.0
Shots On Target
2.3
7.3
Corners
1.5
10.7
Fouls
13.5
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.2
1.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Tondela Wins
0Draws
1Benfica Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Benfica Win | 3:0 |
| 7 Feb 2022 | Benfica Win | 1:3 |
| 29 Aug 2021 | Benfica Win | 2:1 |
| 30 Apr 2021 | Benfica Win | 0:2 |
| 8 Jan 2021 | Benfica Win | 2:0 |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Famalicao | 3:0 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 1:0 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Arouca | 3:1 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Casa Pia | 1:2 | L |
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Estrela | 4:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 0:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 3:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sp Braga | 2:2 | D |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 1:0 | W |