Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins |
31.45%
±13.84%
|
2.75 | -13.5% |
| Draw |
29.09%
±1.6%
|
3.08 | -10.5% |
| Guimaraes wins |
39.46%
±14.06%
|
2.55 | +0.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Tondela
Guimaraes
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Tondela
Guimaraes
Shots
12.0
13.0
Shots On Target
4.1
3.8
Corners
3.7
4.3
Fouls
14.6
14.4
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Tondela
Guimaraes
Shots
10.2
13.2
Shots On Target
3.4
5.8
Corners
5.2
4.6
Fouls
14.6
17.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.4
Red Cards
0.4
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Tondela Wins
1Draws
1Guimaraes Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Guimaraes Win | 5:2 |
| 4 Apr 2021 | Tondela Win | 1:2 |
| 27 Nov 2020 | Guimaraes Win | 0:2 |
| 1 Mar 2020 | Guimaraes Win | 2:0 |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | AVS | 2:2 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 0:3 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Rio Ave | 3:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:2 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Estrela | 0:0 | D |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Benfica | 0:3 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Famalicao | 2:0 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Santa Clara | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Alverca | 2:0 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Sp Braga | 1:1 | D |