Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins |
6.37%
±4.24%
|
10.75 | -31.5% |
| Draw |
21.16%
±5.06%
|
5.50 | +16.4% |
| Porto wins |
72.46%
±9.2%
|
1.25 | -9.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Tondela
Porto
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Tondela
Porto
Shots
11.8
14.4
Shots On Target
4.0
5.6
Corners
3.9
5.4
Fouls
15.4
12.9
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Tondela
Porto
Shots
7.2
16.6
Shots On Target
2.4
6.8
Corners
2.6
5.8
Fouls
14.2
19.6
Yellow Cards
3.4
2.6
Red Cards
0.4
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Tondela Wins
0Draws
0Porto Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2022 | Porto Win | 4:0 |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Porto Win | 1:3 |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Porto Win | 0:2 |
| 5 Dec 2020 | Porto Win | 4:3 |
| 9 Jul 2020 | Porto Win | 1:3 |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | AVS | 2:2 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 0:3 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Rio Ave | 3:0 | L |
Porto - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Estoril | 1:0 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Famalicao | 0:1 | W |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Sp Braga | 2:1 | W |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Moreirense | 1:2 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Benfica | 0:0 | D |