Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins |
12.63%
±7.46%
|
5.63 | -28.9% |
| Draw |
26.44%
±4.55%
|
3.75 | -0.8% |
| Sp Braga wins |
60.92%
±11.82%
|
1.58 | -3.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Tondela
Sp Braga
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Tondela
Sp Braga
Shots
10.8
12.5
Shots On Target
3.0
4.9
Corners
4.1
5.0
Fouls
13.9
12.2
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.3
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Tondela
Sp Braga
Shots
7.4
13.9
Shots On Target
2.4
5.3
Corners
2.6
6.3
Fouls
11.9
12.9
Yellow Cards
2.9
1.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Tondela Wins
1Draws
0Sp Braga Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2025 | Sp Braga Win | 3:0 |
| 20 Feb 2022 | Sp Braga Win | 0:1 |
| 20 Sep 2021 | Sp Braga Win | 3:1 |
| 21 Feb 2021 | Sp Braga Win | 4:2 |
| 3 Oct 2020 | Sp Braga Win | 0:4 |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 1:0 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Arouca | 3:1 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Casa Pia | 1:2 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Nacional | 3:1 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Porto | 0:2 | L |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Estrela | 3:3 | D |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 2:2 | D |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 1:0 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 1:2 | W |