Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins |
27.83%
±12.5%
|
2.48 | -31.1% |
| Draw |
32.3%
±1.83%
|
3.20 | +3.4% |
| Lens wins |
39.87%
±13.23%
|
2.65 | +5.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Toulouse
Lens
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Toulouse
Lens
Shots
12.3
13.0
Shots On Target
3.8
5.4
Corners
5.1
5.8
Fouls
14.8
14.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Toulouse
Lens
Shots
9.2
15.6
Shots On Target
2.4
4.8
Corners
5.6
5.8
Fouls
11.2
13.8
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Toulouse Wins
1Draws
1Lens Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Toulouse Win | 0:1 |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Lens Win | 0:2 |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Lens Win | 2:1 |
| 2 May 2023 | Lens Win | 0:1 |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Paris FC | 0:3 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Strasbourg | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Marseille | 2:2 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Angers | 0:1 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Lorient | 1:1 | D |
Lens - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Nice | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Nantes | 1:2 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Angers | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Strasbourg | 1:0 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Monaco | 1:4 | W |