Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins |
61.16%
±13.18%
|
1.59 | -2.8% |
| Draw |
24.15%
±5.16%
|
3.95 | -4.6% |
| Metz wins |
14.69%
±8.18%
|
5.75 | -15.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Toulouse
Metz
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Toulouse
Metz
Shots
12.3
7.9
Shots On Target
4.1
1.9
Corners
4.0
4.1
Fouls
14.1
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Toulouse
Metz
Shots
9.5
11.0
Shots On Target
6.0
2.5
Corners
3.0
5.5
Fouls
14.0
13.5
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Toulouse Wins
2Draws
0Metz Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2024 | Toulouse Win | 0:1 |
| 1 Oct 2023 | Toulouse Win | 3:0 |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Lyon | 1:2 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Nantes | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Auxerre | 1:0 | L |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Lille | 2:1 | L |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Paris SG | 3:6 | L |
Metz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Marseille | 0:3 | L |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Le Havre | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Monaco | 5:2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Angers | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Paris FC | 3:2 | L |