Twente vs AZ Alkmaar
Final Result
1:0
Twente to win
Our Prediction
Missed
35.9%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±13.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente wins |
34.51%
±14.09%
|
2.23 | -23.2% |
| Draw |
29.58%
±1.72%
|
3.65 | +8.0% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
35.91%
±13.54%
|
2.95 | +5.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
18.9
16.4
Shots On Target
6.9
6.6
Corners
4.8
6.2
Fouls
12.2
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
11.9
9.7
Shots On Target
4.4
3.5
Corners
5.1
3.3
Fouls
10.5
12.1
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Twente Wins
4Draws
1AZ Alkmaar Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 May 2025 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 2:3 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 1:0 |
| 5 May 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 2:1 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Twente Win | 2:1 |
| 19 Mar 2023 | Twente Win | 2:1 |
Twente - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Volendam | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Telstar | 0:0 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Groningen | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Ajax | 2:3 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Nijmegen | 3:3 | D |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Heerenveen | 3:1 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 1:5 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Utrecht | 4:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ajax | 0:2 | W |