Union Berlin vs Leverkusen
Final Result
1:0
Union Berlin to win
Our Prediction
Missed
41.6%
Leverkusen to win
±13.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins |
27.39%
±12.37%
|
2.90 | -20.6% |
| Draw |
31.02%
±1.89%
|
3.35 | +3.9% |
| Leverkusen wins |
41.59%
±13.32%
|
2.42 | +0.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Union Berlin
Leverkusen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Union Berlin
Leverkusen
Shots
14.6
13.6
Shots On Target
4.0
4.3
Corners
5.9
6.1
Fouls
11.7
8.7
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Union Berlin
Leverkusen
Shots
9.1
13.9
Shots On Target
3.0
5.4
Corners
3.7
5.6
Fouls
12.1
9.5
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Union Berlin Wins
0Draws
5Leverkusen Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Leverkusen Win | 2:0 |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Leverkusen Win | 1:2 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Leverkusen Win | 0:1 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Leverkusen Win | 4:0 |
Union Berlin - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Hamburg | 3:2 | L |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Hoffenheim | 3:1 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Dortmund | 0:3 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Stuttgart | 1:1 | D |
Leverkusen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | St Pauli | 4:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | M'gladbach | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:3 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Werder Bremen | 1:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Hoffenheim | 1:0 | L |