Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
Final Result
3:1
Union Berlin to win
Our Prediction
Missed
50.1%
RB Leipzig to win
±13.4%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins |
20.87%
±10.72%
|
3.20 | -33.2% |
| Draw |
29.07%
±3.03%
|
3.45 | +0.3% |
| RB Leipzig wins |
50.06%
±13.35%
|
2.23 | +11.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Shots
12.1
16.7
Shots On Target
3.4
6.7
Corners
5.1
6.6
Fouls
13.5
9.2
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Shots
10.2
12.6
Shots On Target
3.6
3.7
Corners
3.9
5.6
Fouls
12.5
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Union Berlin Wins
5Draws
2RB Leipzig Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 4 Feb 2024 | RB Leipzig Win | 2:0 |
| 3 Sep 2023 | RB Leipzig Win | 0:3 |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Union Berlin Win | 1:2 |
Union Berlin - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Wolfsburg | 3:1 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Heidenheim | 1:2 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | St Pauli | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Bayern Munich | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Freiburg | 0:0 | D |
RB Leipzig - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 6:0 | W |
| 28 Nov 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Werder Bremen | 2:0 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Hoffenheim | 3:1 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Stuttgart | 3:1 | W |