Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar
Final Result
2:0
Utrecht to win
Our Prediction
Missed
36.9%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±13.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht wins |
33.44%
±13.82%
|
2.25 | -24.8% |
| Draw |
29.63%
±1.64%
|
3.55 | +5.2% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
36.93%
±13.48%
|
3.03 | +11.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
14.5
14.9
Shots On Target
4.7
5.6
Corners
5.1
5.0
Fouls
10.7
10.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
12.7
13.8
Shots On Target
4.8
5.9
Corners
5.3
5.3
Fouls
9.8
9.4
Yellow Cards
1.0
0.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Utrecht Wins
2Draws
5AZ Alkmaar Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 4:1 |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Utrecht Win | 1:2 |
| 19 May 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Utrecht - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Zwolle | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Groningen | 1:2 | W |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Nijmegen | 1:3 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Feyenoord | 0:1 | L |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Heerenveen | 1:1 | D |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3:1 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Excelsior | 1:2 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Ajax | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Nijmegen | 1:3 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 0:1 | W |