La Liga Primera Division 28 Feb 2026 08:00 Match Finished

Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao

Our Prediction Missed
38.1% Ath Bilbao to win

±13.5%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Vallecano wins
30.6% ±13.37%
2.45 -25.0%
Draw
31.25% ±1.67%
3.10 -3.1%
Ath Bilbao wins
38.15% ±13.51%
3.10 +18.3%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Vallecano
Ath Bilbao

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Vallecano
Ath Bilbao
Shots 13.5 16.9
Shots On Target 4.9 5.5
Corners 4.8 5.5
Fouls 13.7 14.2
Yellow Cards 3.6 3.1
Red Cards 0.5 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Vallecano
Ath Bilbao
Shots 13.4 10.8
Shots On Target 2.8 3.8
Corners 5.1 4.9
Fouls 11.8 14.4
Yellow Cards 2.1 1.5
Red Cards 0.0 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Vallecano Wins

1

Draws

1

Ath Bilbao Wins

7
Date Result Score
25 Aug 2025 Ath Bilbao Win 1:0
13 Apr 2025 Ath Bilbao Win 3:1
1 Dec 2024 Ath Bilbao Win 1:2
25 May 2024 Ath Bilbao Win 0:1
2 Dec 2023 Ath Bilbao Win 4:0

Vallecano - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
21 Feb 2026 Betis 1:1 D
15 Feb 2026 Ath Madrid 3:0 W
1 Feb 2026 Real Madrid 2:1 L
24 Jan 2026 Osasuna 1:3 L
18 Jan 2026 Celta 3:0 L

Ath Bilbao - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
20 Feb 2026 Elche 2:1 W
15 Feb 2026 Oviedo 1:2 W
8 Feb 2026 Levante 4:2 W
1 Feb 2026 Sociedad 1:1 D
24 Jan 2026 Sevilla 2:1 L