Vallecano vs Ath Madrid
Final Result
3:0
Vallecano to win
Our Prediction
Missed
53.6%
Ath Madrid to win
±13.2%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vallecano wins |
17.72%
±9.82%
|
4.20 | -25.6% |
| Draw |
28.64%
±3.67%
|
3.40 | -2.6% |
| Ath Madrid wins |
53.64%
±13.16%
|
1.86 | -0.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Vallecano
Ath Madrid
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Vallecano
Ath Madrid
Shots
14.0
12.2
Shots On Target
4.7
5.0
Corners
5.5
6.2
Fouls
13.8
11.3
Yellow Cards
3.5
1.5
Red Cards
0.6
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Vallecano
Ath Madrid
Shots
11.9
13.4
Shots On Target
2.6
5.2
Corners
5.0
4.9
Fouls
12.4
11.2
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Vallecano Wins
0Draws
2Ath Madrid Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2025 | Ath Madrid Win | 3:2 |
| 24 Apr 2025 | Ath Madrid Win | 3:0 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 31 Jan 2024 | Ath Madrid Win | 2:1 |
| 28 Aug 2023 | Ath Madrid Win | 0:7 |
Vallecano - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Real Madrid | 2:1 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Osasuna | 1:3 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Celta | 3:0 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Mallorca | 2:1 | W |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Getafe | 1:1 | D |
Ath Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Betis | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Levante | 0:0 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Mallorca | 3:0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Alaves | 1:0 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Sociedad | 1:1 | D |