Villarreal vs Alaves
Final Result
3:1
Villarreal to win
Our Prediction
Correct
60.8%
Villarreal to win
±13.4%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins |
60.8%
±13.4%
|
1.47 | -10.6% |
| Draw |
24.27%
±5.19%
|
4.33 | +5.1% |
| Alaves wins |
14.93%
±8.36%
|
6.88 | +2.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Villarreal
Alaves
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Villarreal
Alaves
Shots
11.3
11.1
Shots On Target
4.6
3.3
Corners
3.2
3.8
Fouls
13.2
14.5
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Villarreal
Alaves
Shots
14.7
10.1
Shots On Target
5.0
4.1
Corners
6.6
3.7
Fouls
12.3
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.3
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Villarreal Wins
4Draws
2Alaves Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2025 | Alaves Win | 1:0 |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Villarreal Win | 3:0 |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Alaves Win | 2:1 |
Villarreal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Elche | 1:3 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Barcelona | 0:2 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Getafe | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Sociedad | 2:3 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Mallorca | 2:1 | W |
Alaves - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Oviedo | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Osasuna | 3:0 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Real Madrid | 1:2 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Sociedad | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Barcelona | 3:1 | L |