Villarreal vs Real Madrid
Final Result
0:2
Real Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Correct
53.6%
Real Madrid to win
±13.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins |
19.84%
±10.79%
|
3.35 | -33.5% |
| Draw |
26.6%
±3.21%
|
3.85 | +2.4% |
| Real Madrid wins |
53.56%
±13.63%
|
2.00 | +7.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Shots
11.7
19.9
Shots On Target
4.8
7.6
Corners
3.1
6.9
Fouls
12.8
10.0
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Shots
12.1
15.7
Shots On Target
4.0
4.8
Corners
3.9
5.0
Fouls
13.7
8.7
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Villarreal Wins
2Draws
3Real Madrid Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Real Madrid Win | 3:1 |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Real Madrid Win | 1:2 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Real Madrid Win | 2:0 |
| 19 May 2024 | Draw | 4:4 |
| 17 Dec 2023 | Real Madrid Win | 4:1 |
Villarreal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Betis | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Alaves | 3:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Elche | 1:3 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Barcelona | 0:2 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Getafe | 2:0 | W |
Real Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Levante | 2:0 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Betis | 5:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sevilla | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Alaves | 1:2 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Celta | 0:2 | L |