Watford vs Middlesbrough
Final Result
3:0
Watford to win
Our Prediction
Missed
39.3%
Middlesbrough to win
±13.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins |
31.73%
±13.52%
|
2.78 | -11.9% |
| Draw |
28.94%
±1.59%
|
3.35 | -3.0% |
| Middlesbrough wins |
39.32%
±13.62%
|
2.43 | -4.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Watford
Middlesbrough
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Watford
Middlesbrough
Shots
14.9
12.8
Shots On Target
5.1
3.9
Corners
4.7
4.4
Fouls
10.8
8.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Watford
Middlesbrough
Shots
12.4
11.1
Shots On Target
3.8
4.1
Corners
4.9
5.8
Fouls
12.1
10.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Watford Wins
4Draws
1Middlesbrough Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2025 | Watford Win | 0:1 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Watford Win | 2:1 |
| 4 May 2024 | Middlesbrough Win | 3:1 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Middlesbrough Win | 2:3 |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Middlesbrough Win | 2:0 |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Coventry | 3:1 | L |
| 22 Oct 2025 | West Brom | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Sheffield United | 1:0 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Oxford | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Portsmouth | 2:2 | D |
Middlesbrough - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Wrexham | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Oct 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 0:1 | W |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Ipswich | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Portsmouth | 1:0 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Stoke | 0:0 | D |