Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins |
42.82%
±14.91%
|
2.08 | -10.9% |
| Draw |
28.11%
±2.7%
|
3.30 | -7.2% |
| Stoke wins |
29.06%
±12.67%
|
3.25 | -5.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Watford
Stoke
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Watford
Stoke
Shots
14.0
10.7
Shots On Target
5.5
4.1
Corners
4.8
5.5
Fouls
11.8
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Watford
Stoke
Shots
12.9
11.4
Shots On Target
5.0
3.2
Corners
4.2
5.0
Fouls
12.0
13.5
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Watford Wins
5Draws
2Stoke Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Watford Win | 3:0 |
| 29 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Stoke Win | 1:0 |
| 8 May 2023 | Watford Win | 2:0 |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Wrexham | 2:2 | D |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 3:2 | W |
| 1 Dec 2025 | Birmingham | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Preston | 1:1 | D |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Swansea | 2:1 | W |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Ipswich | 1:0 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 4:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Hull | 1:2 | L |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Charlton | 3:0 | W |