Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsburg wins |
15.43%
±8.7%
|
4.30 | -33.6% |
| Draw |
26.58%
±3.96%
|
4.10 | +9.0% |
| Dortmund wins |
57.99%
±12.41%
|
1.73 | +0.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Wolfsburg
Dortmund
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Wolfsburg
Dortmund
Shots
11.4
12.6
Shots On Target
4.5
5.2
Corners
3.8
4.5
Fouls
11.1
10.9
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Wolfsburg
Dortmund
Shots
13.3
14.4
Shots On Target
4.1
6.0
Corners
6.1
6.3
Fouls
11.3
10.1
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Wolfsburg Wins
1Draws
1Dortmund Wins
8| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | Dortmund Win | 1:0 |
| 3 May 2025 | Dortmund Win | 4:0 |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Dortmund Win | 1:3 |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Dortmund Win | 1:0 |
Wolfsburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | FC Koln | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Mainz | 3:1 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Heidenheim | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 2:1 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Bayern Munich | 8:1 | L |
Dortmund - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Heidenheim | 3:2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Union Berlin | 0:3 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 3:2 | W |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Werder Bremen | 3:0 | W |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 3:3 | D |