Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves wins |
54.51%
±14.4%
|
1.82 | -0.7% |
| Draw |
25.09%
±4.22%
|
3.44 | -13.7% |
| Malaga wins Top Bet |
20.4%
±10.41%
|
4.32 | -11.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alaves
Malaga
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Alaves
Malaga
Shots
9.6
9.4
Shots On Target
3.2
2.3
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
3.1
5.1
Fouls
11.2
11.1
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.2
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Alaves
Malaga
Shots
12.5
11.0
Shots On Target
3.0
4.5
Corners
4.5
2.0
Fouls
21.0
16.5
Yellow Cards
3.5
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Alaves Wins
1Draws
0Malaga Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 May 2023 | Alaves Win | 2:1 |
| 18 Dec 2022 | Malaga Win | 1:0 |
Alaves - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Celta | - | - |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Ath Madrid | 1:2 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Ath Bilbao | 0:0 | D |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Valencia | 0:1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Santander | 2:1 | L |
Malaga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Sociedad | - | - |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Espanol | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Getafe | 1:0 | L |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Villarreal | 1:3 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Celta | 1:1 | D |