Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca wins |
39.53%
±14.85%
|
2.09 | -17.2% |
| Draw |
29.85%
±2.46%
|
3.26 | -2.5% |
| Arouca wins |
30.62%
±12.99%
|
3.08 | -5.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alverca
Arouca
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Alverca
Arouca
Shots
11.2
11.2
Shots On Target
3.5
4.0
Corners
4.7
3.2
Fouls
14.5
11.2
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Alverca
Arouca
Shots
6.0
16.0
Shots On Target
2.0
3.5
Corners
5.5
5.5
Fouls
9.5
13.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
3.0
Red Cards
0.5
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Alverca Wins
1Draws
0Arouca Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | Alverca Win | 2:1 |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Arouca Win | 1:0 |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Famalicao | 1:4 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Rio Ave | 1:0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Nacional | 1:3 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Sp Braga | 1:2 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Santa Clara | 1:1 | D |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Estrela | 1:0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Santa Clara | 1:2 | L |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Estoril | 0:0 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Maritimo | 2:1 | W |