Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins |
44.33%
±14.61%
|
2.00 | -11.3% |
| Draw |
29.28%
±3.19%
|
3.79 | +10.9% |
| Brighton wins |
26.39%
±11.83%
|
3.27 | -13.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Liverpool
Brighton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Liverpool
Brighton
Shots
16.1
17.1
Shots On Target
5.4
5.4
Corners
6.0
5.2
Fouls
12.8
11.6
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Liverpool
Brighton
Shots
16.1
13.0
Shots On Target
5.5
5.5
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
5.3
4.7
Fouls
12.4
10.9
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Liverpool Wins
4Draws
3Brighton Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Brighton Win | 2:1 |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Liverpool Win | 2:0 |
| 19 May 2025 | Brighton Win | 3:2 |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Liverpool Win | 2:1 |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Liverpool Win | 2:1 |
Liverpool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Brentford | - | - |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Man City | 0:3 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth | 0:1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Fulham | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Ipswich | 0:2 | W |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Crystal Palace | - | - |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Sunderland | 0:2 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Arsenal | 3:0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Coventry | 0:5 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Leeds | 1:1 | D |