Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins |
54.15%
±14.24%
|
1.67 | -9.6% |
| Draw |
25.84%
±4.31%
|
4.00 | +3.2% |
| Troyes wins |
20.02%
±10.16%
|
4.48 | -10.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Toulouse
Troyes
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Toulouse
Troyes
Shots
12.7
14.9
Shots On Target
4.4
3.7
Corners
4.3
6.8
Fouls
15.6
12.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Toulouse
Troyes
Shots
9.8
13.5
Shots On Target
4.2
5.0
Corners
4.5
5.5
Fouls
16.0
14.2
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Toulouse Wins
2Draws
2Troyes Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2023 | Toulouse Win | 4:1 |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Toulouse Win | 0:3 |
| 6 Feb 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 3 Oct 2020 | Draw | 0:0 |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | Le Mans | - | - |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Monaco | 2:2 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Le Havre | 3:2 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Lorient | 2:2 | D |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Lille | 0:1 | L |
Troyes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Lens | - | - |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Marseille | 0:2 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Angers | 2:0 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Lille | 2:0 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Strasbourg | 2:6 | L |