Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Algeria wins |
37.05%
±18.71%
|
3.30 | +22.3% |
| Draw |
31.77%
±2.1%
|
3.15 | +0.1% |
| Nigeria wins |
31.19%
±16.89%
|
2.63 | -18.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Algeria
Nigeria
Head-to-Head History
Algeria Wins
3Draws
1Nigeria Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2022 | Algeria Win | 2:1 |
| 9 Oct 2020 | Algeria Win | 0:1 |
| 14 Jul 2019 | Algeria Win | 2:1 |
| 10 Nov 2017 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 12 Nov 2016 | Nigeria Win | 3:1 |
Algeria - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | DR Congo | 1:0 | W |
| 31 Dec 2025 | Equatorial Guinea | 1:3 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Burkina Faso | 1:0 | W |
| 24 Dec 2025 | Sudan | 3:0 | W |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Saudi Arabia | 0:2 | W |
Nigeria - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | Mozambique | 4:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Uganda | 1:3 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Tunisia | 3:2 | W |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Tanzania | 2:1 | W |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Egypt | 2:1 | L |