Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada wins |
27.03%
±16.01%
|
3.61 | -2.4% |
| Draw |
31.5%
±1.85%
|
3.05 | -3.9% |
| Ecuador wins |
41.47%
±17.55%
|
2.60 | +7.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Canada
Ecuador
Head-to-Head History
Canada Wins
0Draws
1Ecuador Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2011 | Draw | 2:2 |
Canada - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 | Colombia | 0:0 | D |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Australia | 0:1 | L |
| 9 Sep 2025 | Wales | 0:1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2025 | Romania | 0:3 | W |
| 29 Jun 2025 | Guatemala | 1:2 | L |
Ecuador - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 | Mexico | 1:1 | D |
| 11 Oct 2025 | USA | 1:1 | D |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Argentina | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Mexico | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Jun 2024 | Jamaica | 3:1 | W |