Africa Cup of Nations 2 Jan 2026 19:00 Match Finished

Mali vs Tunisia

Final Result

2:1

Mali to win

Rating Change

Mali +1.8
Tunisia +4.1
Our Prediction Correct
38.3% Mali to win

±18.6%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Mali wins
38.33% ±18.56%
2.65 +1.6%
Draw
31.06% ±2.24%
2.70 -16.2%
Tunisia wins
30.62% ±16.57%
3.65 +11.7%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Mali
Tunisia

Head-to-Head History

Mali Wins

1

Draws

3

Tunisia Wins

3
Date Result Score
20 Jan 2024 Draw 1:1
29 Mar 2022 Draw 0:0
25 Mar 2022 Tunisia Win 0:1
12 Jan 2022 Mali Win 0:1
15 Jun 2021 Tunisia Win 1:0

Mali - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
29 Dec 2025 Comoros 0:0 D
26 Dec 2025 Morocco 1:1 D
22 Dec 2025 Zambia 1:1 D
18 Nov 2025 Jordan 0:0 D
5 Jun 2025 DR Congo 1:0 L

Tunisia - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
30 Dec 2025 Tanzania 1:1 D
27 Dec 2025 Nigeria 3:2 L
23 Dec 2025 Uganda 3:1 W
18 Nov 2025 Brazil 1:1 D
14 Nov 2025 Jordan 3:2 W