Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins |
41.76%
±18.51%
|
1.95 | -18.6% |
| Draw |
31%
±3.19%
|
3.49 | +8.2% |
| Paraguay wins |
27.24%
±15.47%
|
4.78 | +30.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mexico
Paraguay
Head-to-Head History
Mexico Wins
6Draws
0Paraguay Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2022 | Paraguay Win | 0:1 |
| 27 Mar 2019 | Mexico Win | 4:2 |
| 2 Jul 2017 | Mexico Win | 2:1 |
| 28 May 2016 | Mexico Win | 1:0 |
| 1 Apr 2015 | Mexico Win | 1:0 |
Mexico - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 | Uruguay | 0:0 | D |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Ecuador | 1:1 | D |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Colombia | 0:4 | L |
| 10 Sep 2025 | South Korea | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Sep 2025 | Japan | 0:0 | D |
Paraguay - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | USA | 2:1 | L |
| 14 Oct 2025 | South Korea | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Japan | 2:2 | D |
| 3 Jul 2024 | Costa Rica | 2:1 | L |
| 29 Jun 2024 | Brazil | 1:4 | L |