Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova wins Top Bet |
58.81%
±19.54%
|
3.00 | +76.4% |
| Draw |
22.21%
±5.48%
|
3.23 | -28.3% |
| Lithuania wins |
18.98%
±14.12%
|
2.70 | -48.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Moldova
Lithuania
Head-to-Head History
Moldova Wins
1Draws
1Lithuania Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2013 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 20 Aug 2008 | Lithuania Win | 3:0 |
| 16 Aug 2006 | Moldova Win | 3:2 |
Moldova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2025 | Romania | 2:1 | L |
| 6 Jun 2025 | Poland | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Nov 2024 | Gibraltar | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Sep 2024 | San Marino | 1:0 | W |
| 11 Jun 2024 | Ukraine | 0:4 | L |
Lithuania - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | Israel | 0:0 | D |
| 10 Jun 2025 | Denmark | 5:0 | L |
| 19 Nov 2023 | Cyprus | 1:0 | L |
| 16 Nov 2023 | Montenegro | 2:0 | L |
| 17 Oct 2023 | Hungary | 2:2 | D |