Africa Cup of Nations 25 Dec 2025 19:00 Match Finished

Morocco vs Mali

Final Result

1:1

Match ended in a draw

Rating Change

Morocco -0.2
Mali -1.7
Our Prediction Missed
58.2% Morocco to win

±18.9%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Morocco wins
58.2% ±18.9%
1.53 -10.9%
Draw
26.95% ±7.24%
4.13 +11.3%
Mali wins
14.85% ±11.72%
8.69 +29.0%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Morocco
Mali

Head-to-Head History

Morocco Wins

2

Draws

1

Mali Wins

0
Date Result Score
5 Sep 2017 Draw 0:0
1 Sep 2017 Morocco Win 6:0
6 Mar 2013 Morocco Win 2:1

Morocco - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
21 Dec 2025 Comoros 2:0 W
18 Nov 2025 Uganda 4:0 W
14 Nov 2025 Mozambique 1:0 W
9 Oct 2025 Bahrain 1:0 W
9 Jun 2025 Benin 1:0 W

Mali - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
22 Dec 2025 Zambia 1:1 D
18 Nov 2025 Jordan 0:0 D
5 Jun 2025 DR Congo 1:0 L
19 Nov 2024 Eswatini 6:0 W
15 Nov 2024 Mozambique 0:1 W