Netherlands vs Ecuador
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
35.3%
Netherlands to win
±18.2%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands wins |
35.35%
±18.15%
|
1.58 | -44.2% |
| Draw |
33.17%
±1.83%
|
4.20 | +39.3% |
| Ecuador wins Top Bet |
31.49%
±16.66%
|
6.40 | +101.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Netherlands
Ecuador
Head-to-Head History
Netherlands Wins
1Draws
2Ecuador Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 17 May 2014 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 1 Mar 2006 | Netherlands Win | 1:0 |
Netherlands - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | Norway | 2:1 | W |
| 10 Jul 2024 | England | 1:2 | L |
| 6 Jul 2024 | Turkey | 2:1 | W |
| 2 Jul 2024 | Romania | 0:3 | W |
| 25 Jun 2024 | Austria | 2:3 | L |
Ecuador - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2026 | Morocco | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Nov 2025 | New Zealand | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Canada | 0:0 | D |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Mexico | 1:1 | D |
| 11 Oct 2025 | USA | 1:1 | D |